Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 20 contracts. Kalshi at 32%, Polymarket at 29% — a 3pp cross-venue gap.
Implied probability
Kalshi
32%
2 contracts
Polymarket
29%
18 contracts
Cross-venue gap
3pp
modest gap
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$50
20 contracts
Top contract
4¢
$28 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Cross-venue edge
Kalshi 32¢ · Polymarket 29¢ · 3pp spread
Buy on Polymarket (29¢, 18 contracts) and sell on Kalshi (32¢) — assuming both contracts settle on the same outcome.
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC” vs “Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)
0xbebd40…6491
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x4a0472…2ce2
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Gangwon FC (-1.5)
0x977347…4855
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC
0xa80cd7…c5ea
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)
0xe483f0…01b4
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Gangwon FC
0x09ab68…0c78
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x9e7de8…ac10
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Gangwon FC (-2.5)
0x36d69b…31ff
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x39eae1…cc7b
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x22a7b8…f1ac
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xdb7be8…c886
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Draw (Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC)
0x723f65…6749
Cluster 2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
0xdfea58…9e90
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC)
0xe6fc33…2250
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC
0x4fa962…6fa1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xd12dde…4dcd
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x8917c8…3bcb
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets: Gwangju FC (-1.5)
0x6c4d81…fbcf
Cluster 3
Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers Winner
What moved the line
- May 2Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)↓24pp37→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)↓23pp35→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gwangju FC↓18pp28→10¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Gwangju FC (-1.5)↓17pp33→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Gangwon FC (-2.5)↓15pp33→18¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.