Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 28% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
28%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$71
20 contracts
Top contract
25¢
$44 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets” vs “Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x8508f6…067a
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8c7c03…b8bb
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2251c7…d389
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)
0x817c8e…fc3f
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)
0x3ed805…a3e4
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)
0x6ffa32…eeea
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x20d0cd…a5ef
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)
0x9e39af…bb75
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2c997e…95c4
Cluster 2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x34dea0…204d
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x0bd1b6…c7f3
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)
0x264488…7bf2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x07f191…7772
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Henan FC (-2.5)
0xd8a866…979b
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)
0x7b11ba…e46e
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x326ee5…214b
Cluster 3
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)
0x68a5ef…cb41
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)
0x9559fd…f68f
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)
0xe6edf9…c991
What moved the line
- May 3Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)↑16pp14→30¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)↑10pp25→35¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑10pp16→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)↓9pp29→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)↓7pp30→23¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.