RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Ventforet Kōfu - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 41% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
41%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$19
20 contracts
Top contract
56¢
$19 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata” vs “RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc95a40…390b
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata: Draw (Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata)
0x8b615b…7665
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata: Ventforet Kōfu
0xda69dd…ca85
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: Júbilo Iwata (-1.5)
0x077801…3ead
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xdbabef…231f
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x35df37…0e4f
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: Ventforet Kōfu (-2.5)
0xcac6d6…bece
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x0adfa4…5fdd
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x6ae87a…092d
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: Ventforet Kōfu (-1.5)
0xdb9799…5f07
Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets: Júbilo Iwata (-2.5)
0x9dc1f0…3abe
Cluster 2
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Iwaki FC (-1.5)
0x3783e6…bf0a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x728f89…870a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x0f34a8…10f8
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2195c5…48b0
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Iwaki FC (-2.5)
0x129775…a1cd
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5)
0x8e56cc…7711
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5)
0xe2879d…4d3a
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xbb1f4e…b486
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xfacf32…cc9f
What moved the line
- May 3Júbilo Iwata (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Iwaki FC (-1.5)↑3pp33→36¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.