Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets

30-day trend

Analysis

This represents traders' assessment that Reilac Shiga will win their match against Renofa Yamaguchi FC, with the leading market price at 50%. The current probability reflects relatively balanced market positioning, though volume across related football markets remains modest at under $400 per contract. Match outcome depends primarily on team form, recent injury status, and head-to-head historical performance. The key resolution event is the scheduled match date, which will determine the final winner. Trading interest appears light compared to major football leagues, suggesting limited historical data or market familiarity may be influencing price discovery. Shifts in this probability would likely follow team news, lineup announcements, or significant odds movement at major sportsbooks before kickoff.

• ›Leading market price of 50% reflects relatively even odds rather than consensus favoritism for either team
• ›Daily trading volume remains under $400 across contracts, indicating thin liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads
• ›Polymarket contracts show material price divergence (ranging from 4¢ to 67¢ across top listed contracts), suggesting market fragmentation or distinct underlying events priced
• ›No clear favoritism exists between the leading contract (50%) and runner-up (38%), indicating genuine uncertainty among traders
• ›Match outcome is determined solely by final result on the scheduled event date with no interim resolution possible

What moved the line

• May 3Reilac Shiga (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
• May 3Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5)↑3pp33→36¢ · Polymarket
• May 3Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5)↑3pp35→38¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

• Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds