Sagan Tosu vs. Reilac Shiga - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 41% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
41%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
35¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC” vs “Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x303510…3c8a
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: Draw (Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC)
0x164ec0…4d6f
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: Reilac Shiga
0x6e16ef…1cf2
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5)
0xd7af95…fee6
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Reilac Shiga (-2.5)
0xdd3092…9e74
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x9129c6…db55
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Reilac Shiga (-1.5)
0x0f5665…f01a
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xae5a2b…2d40
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x32de6b…ada9
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x035363…ec63
Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets: Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5)
0xaaeaf2…2a40
Cluster 2
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-2.5)
0x00cdc8…8c9f
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-2.5)
0x5900f7…c899
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc62c80…3ca6
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2d68ef…5be9
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb085f4…d24e
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
0xde051c…f56b
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x57869b…5019
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-1.5)
0xe81828…a3a4
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x719429…7984
What moved the line
- May 3Gainare Tottori (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Reilac Shiga (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Sagan Tosu (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gainare Tottori (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5)↑3pp35→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 15 min ago.