Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 4% across 2 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
4%
2 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
2 contracts
Top contract
4¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 2 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “MLS Cup Winner 2026: Seattle Sounders FC” vs “Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
MLS Cup Winner 2026: Seattle Sounders FC
MLS Cup Winner 2026: Seattle Sounders FC
0xdf916c…6890
Cluster 2
Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next
Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?: Seattle Sounders FC
0x49781d…294d
What moved the line
- Apr 28Seattle Sounders FC↑36pp5→41¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29Seattle Sounders FC↓35pp41→6¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28Seattle Sounders FC↑15pp4→19¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (4% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.