SOL price on Apr 24, 2026
Leader sits at 95% across 11 bound outcomes, runner-up at 91%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
$83 or above
Outcomes
11
winner-take-all
Runner-up
91¢
$77 or above
Spread
4pp
contested
24h volume
$6K
modest
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
11 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
sol price on may
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $84 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T83.9999
SOL price on May 3, 2026?: $84 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0317-T83.9999
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $83 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T82.9999
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $86 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T85.9999
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $91 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T90.9999
SOL price on May 3, 2026?: $86 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0317-T85.9999
SOL price on May 3, 2026?: $83 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0317-T82.9999
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $87 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T86.9999
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $88 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T87.9999
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $85 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T84.9999
SOL price on May 8, 2026?: $77 or above
KXSOLD-26MAY0817-T76.9999
What moved the line
- May 3$84 or above↓17pp55→38¢ · Kalshi
- May 3$83 or above↓7pp78→71¢ · Kalshi
- May 3$86 or above↓6pp10→4¢ · Kalshi
- May 2$84 or above↑3pp43→46¢ · Kalshi
- May 3$84 or above↓3pp46→43¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.