Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets
Leader sits at 64% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 52%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
52¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
12pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 7, 2026
3 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-1.5)
0xcfd8ae…56c9
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x5e259b…9efe
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf2f172…fbe5
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x7b51f5…9166
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x288ff0…3634
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xbba7de…c1f0
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-2.5)
0x058269…1b16
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)
0xc72274…aff4
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5)
0x38d77b…87c4
Analysis
This represents the probability that Tala'ea El Gaish SC will defeat Ghazl El Mahalla SC in an upcoming match. The 51% probability reflects near-parity between the two teams, with pricing informed by five separate contracts on Polymarket. Key drivers of the current level include each team's recent form, head-to-head history, home-field advantage, and current league standings. The match itself will resolve the uncertainty definitively, though the exact date is not specified in available data. Market participants are pricing this as essentially a toss-up with marginal lean toward the first-named team, suggesting roughly equivalent competitive strength or significant uncertainty about relevant matchup factors.
- ›Recent win-loss records and goal differential for both Tala'ea El Gaish and Ghazl El Mahalla in their current league season
- ›Head-to-head historical performance between these two clubs, including home and away records
- ›Injury status and squad availability for key players on either side prior to the match
- ›Home vs. away designation and stadium factors, which typically affect match outcomes in Egyptian football
- ›Current league position and momentum trends for both teams in the weeks leading up to the fixture
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.