Tokushima Vortis vs. Ehime FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 42% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
42%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$19
20 contracts
Top contract
78¢
$19 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis” vs “Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1c95fd…fbab
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-2.5)
0x5dd98a…38d8
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xbeb972…3a3f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-1.5)
0x01a64b…9a7e
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Draw (Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis)
0x263600…90e2
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-2.5)
0x1e0203…ea73
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x168e56…f6b6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc21a62…0eea
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbff960…8b67
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)
0x7eb8e5…c63f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Tokushima Vortis
0xb3a05a…67d6
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis: Albirex Niigata
0xa0a31c…2bc7
Cluster 2
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC: Ehime FC
0xf00e6d…d839
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbfea6d…16fe
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x6b317d…c7ea
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd4e73b…7c1f
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Ehime FC (-1.5)
0xc0f88a…27d9
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5)
0x25a76f…ea06
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8eeea8…99fe
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC: Zweigen Kanazawa
0x7cd970…f2a6
What moved the line
- May 3Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Ehime FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Albirex Niigata↑3pp46→49¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5)↑3pp38→41¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.