Tokushima Vortis vs. Ehime FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 37% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
37%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$325
19 contracts
Top contract
3¢
$306 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets” vs “Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1c95fd…fbab
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)
0x7eb8e5…c63f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc21a62…0eea
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xbeb972…3a3f
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Tokushima Vortis (-2.5)
0x5dd98a…38d8
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-2.5)
0x1e0203…ea73
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: Albirex Niigata (-1.5)
0x01a64b…9a7e
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbff960…8b67
Albirex Niigata vs. Tokushima Vortis - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x168e56…f6b6
Cluster 2
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Ehime FC (-2.5)
0x0e9852…4a6f
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5)
0x25a76f…ea06
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x6b317d…c7ea
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5)
0xcc1cd0…f8ca
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd4e73b…7c1f
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Ehime FC (-1.5)
0xc0f88a…27d9
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x09a571…4d01
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbfea6d…16fe
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8eeea8…99fe
Cluster 3
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Club Libertad
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Club Libertad (-2.5)
0x361624…8104
What moved the line
- May 3Club Libertad (-2.5)↓5pp11→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tokushima Vortis (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Ehime FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Ehime FC (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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