Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. CA Rosario Central
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
32%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$306
20 contracts
Top contract
3¢
$306 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 11% of their title tokens — “Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle” vs “CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x194275…ae7e
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xdf2dc3…aa24
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)
0xb49118…0138
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xfba09a…4d70
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)
0x402808…f801
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x45d8d6…0e2b
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)
0x64bd66…b78d
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: Independiente del Valle
0xa49e95…820b
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)
0x171d1b…8dec
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x379684…337b
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
0xf1233b…21a3
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: Draw (Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle)
0x8725fd…826f
Cluster 2
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Club Libertad (-2.5)
0x361624…8104
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb4dcaf…a97b
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: Draw (CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad)
0x6baec5…be1f
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Club Libertad (-1.5)
0x0901f9…c3a4
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xeae9bb…d98d
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)
0x80433c…a6ec
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x8f0caa…5dd3
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x80fa15…067d
What moved the line
- May 3Independiente del Valle↑20pp36→56¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Draw (Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle)↑6pp19→25¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Independiente del Valle (-1.5)↓6pp34→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Club Libertad (-2.5)↓5pp11→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)↓5pp29→24¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 10 min ago.