Vegalta Sendai vs. Blaublitz Akita
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 38% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
38%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
31¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC” vs “Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x3dd375…cb9a
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC: Vegalta Sendai
0xf25320…3cc3
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC: Tochigi SC
0x9f9cbf…f2fd
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: Vegalta Sendai (-2.5)
0xe6e3ec…5418
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: Tochigi SC (-2.5)
0x638499…2a00
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: Vegalta Sendai (-1.5)
0xc5196f…0618
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: Tochigi SC (-1.5)
0x97bc06…aeed
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xfec7ef…00d0
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1d1df7…7c61
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xd90426…8b0d
Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x75a530…9f1f
Cluster 2
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf4a1b8…1c5d
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-1.5)
0x0a2d11…a06a
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara: Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara)
0x8268d8…37f8
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x78f941…ce45
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara: Blaublitz Akita
0xa385c9…feb8
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-2.5)
0xa862ed…0185
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-2.5)
0xc9e19c…0bb4
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-1.5)
0xb700dd…1d5e
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara: SC Sagamihara
0x091c2c…6a2b
What moved the line
- May 3Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara)↓8pp35→27¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tochigi SC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Vegalta Sendai (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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