Winner-take-all · 12 outcomes12 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 3 min ago

Viborg FF vs. Brøndby IF

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 84% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 63%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

84%

O/U 1.5

0¢runner-up 63¢leader 84¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

63¢

O/U 2.5

Spread

21pp

contested

24h volume

$387

thin orderbook

Closes

—

not derived

Venue

Polymarket

12 bound

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

O/U 1.583¢O/U 2.562¢FC Midtjylland61¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 2d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF

12 contracts$387

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: Viborg FF (-2.5)

0x712d79…37f9

3¢−3pp$317P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

0xa28be5…acce

59¢±0$65P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: Viborg FF

0x1d6b96…c161

17¢±0$6P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)

0xbb6d71…349d

38¢—$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 4.5

0xbd46d7…ea7e

22¢±0$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: FC Midtjylland

0xcd9aec…f822

62¢±0$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 2.5

0x43aeb7…9d66

63¢−1pp$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 1.5

0x690bc0…5977

84¢±0$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: Viborg FF (-1.5)

0xa24288…ad69

7¢−2pp$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)

0xf45bbf…e4b4

20¢+3pp$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: Draw (FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF)

0xd70114…80ee

21¢—$0P→

FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 3.5

0x043502…f522

40¢+1pp$0P→

What moved the line

May 2Viborg FF (-1.5)↓4pp13→9¢ · Polymarket
May 3Viborg FF (-2.5)↓3pp8→5¢ · Polymarket
May 3FC Midtjylland (-2.5)↑3pp15→18¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.

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