What price will BNB hit in April?
Leader sits at 95% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 77%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
↑ 80,000
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
77¢
↓ 500
Spread
18pp
contested
24h volume
$74K
liquid
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Polymarket
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What price
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000
0x024b68…6fee
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000
0x1e5564…baa2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000
0xce3c54…2c56
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 110,000
0x63eaf4…7b01
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000
0x752fa6…8a8c
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 80,000
0x6e1fbd…5a55
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000
0x2745c3…a2a2
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500
0xcf25cc…9780
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 200,000
0xac32e7…68cd
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↑ 1600
0x928fa1…78b2
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↓ 200
0x1b3b0e…fbb3
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↓ 300
0xdb891d…d56d
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↓ 400
0xef8bd9…ddc9
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↓ 500
0x3d82b5…4857
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↑ 1300
0x1132bc…1948
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↑ 1200
0xfa28fa…c4f1
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↑ 1000
0xa0ae2e…e29e
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↑ 1100
0xe3eb7d…5f8e
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↑ 1400
0x82928a…f5c0
What price will BNB hit in 2026?: ↑ 1500
0x991030…4c63
What moved the line
- Apr 28↑ 1600↑33pp7→40¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↑ 1600↓32pp40→8¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↑ 1400↑24pp11→35¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↑ 1400↓24pp35→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 1↑ 1500↓15pp24→9¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 14 min ago.