Yokohama FC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 39% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
39%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$45
20 contracts
Top contract
47¢
$15 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre” vs “Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: Vanraure Hachinohe FC
0x22f232…f330
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: Shōnan Bellmāre
0x475f38…af0f
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: Draw (Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre)
0x8e89cd…5f78
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5)
0x542c31…3743
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-1.5)
0xe04de2…f5d3
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9e444e…f814
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb96a58…dc54
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)
0x3cdb5c…d493
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)
0xdc17d5…1ad4
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb005ca…3bbc
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf8c905…86be
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x5680f0…8296
Cluster 2
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-1.5)
0x00d353…5196
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd165f0…81c8
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x5e3b75…609a
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1addf0…ac8d
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-2.5)
0xd08f51…1e15
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
0x2c1d81…eecf
Cluster 3
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets
What moved the line
- May 3Tochigi City FC (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)↑3pp35→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)↑3pp32→35¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 10 min ago.