Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5

Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5. This contract trades at 22¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme distress signals with zero 24-hour volume despite $165k open interest and a massive 51¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting severe illiquidity and potential stranding risk for holders.

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22¢
Bid/Ask 19/24¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $1,994.989·Closes Apr 25, 2026·2d remaining
0x07c2919d84ffd33e2645cbd55f3292cde8b8c7957edb094c94b65f30c4e4e78d
7-day price82 snapshots · 2 regime
36¢22¢ current
Apr 2022¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This market shows extreme distress signals with zero 24-hour volume despite $165k open interest and a massive 51¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting severe illiquidity and potential stranding risk for holders. The astronomical implied yields (11,700% for Yes, 3,702% for No) are mathematical artifacts of the low price rather than genuine opportunity, and with only 6 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this appears to be a dead or abandoned position. The neutral regime score and modest 36¢ price suggest the market may have simply lost participant interest after initial positioning, making any trade here highly speculative without clear market-making support.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming K-League game between Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on kleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 57387.6%
IY (No) 4565.4%
Adj IY 28694%
CRI 4
Overround 1.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)57387.6%
IY (No)4565.4%
Adj IY28694%
CRI4
Overround1.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:55:29 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:23 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x07c2919d84ffd33e2645cbd55f3292cde8b8c7957edb094c94b65f30c4e4e78d yes 100

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