Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026. This eschatological market exhibits extreme asymmetry with Yes holders facing a 3,395.7% implied yield against a mere 5.9% for No, reflecting the extraordinarily low 4¢ price and binary nature of the event.
Analysis
This eschatological market exhibits extreme asymmetry with Yes holders facing a 3,395.7% implied yield against a mere 5.9% for No, reflecting the extraordinarily low 4¢ price and binary nature of the event. The $1.42M open interest with $60K daily volume suggests reasonable liquidity despite the niche topic, though the 24 Cliff Risk Index indicates meaningful tail risk concentration near the December 2026 expiration. The zero spread and maker-regime scoring (0.295) point to a thin, potentially illiquid order book where large positions could face slippage, making this a speculative rather than efficient pricing mechanism.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x0b4cc3b739e1dfe5d73274740e7308b6fb389c5af040c3a174923d928d134bee yes 100