What is the current probability for "Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 69¢ (69% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 27, 2026. 33 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.4% and 2474.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Prediction markets currently give a 69% probability that Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?. This contract trades at 69¢ on Polymarket, closing May 27, 2026.

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69¢

Bid/Ask 65/72¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $75.251·OI $259.719·Closes May 27, 2026·33d remaining

0x338e9d7c4c73cb4c028038d194211c37ca077566b63c42e6756bd1441b586bff

7-day price384 snapshots · 39 regime

76¢69¢ current

Apr 821¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in last place in the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in last place in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in last place in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.4%

IY (No) 2474.0%

Adj IY 2223%

CRI 2

RV 192%

VR 0.82

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2474.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2223%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	192%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.82	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.10	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.409

Computed

4/24/2026, 3:46:53 AM

Observability mediumEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 3:53:13 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x338e9d7c4c73cb4c028038d194211c37ca077566b63c42e6756bd1441b586bff yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

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