What is the current probability for "Will Inter win the Coppa Italia?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 95¢ (95% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 28, 2026. 34 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Inter win the Coppa Italia?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 498.7% and 2252.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Inter win the Coppa Italia?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Inter win the Coppa Italia?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 95% probability that Will Inter win the Coppa Italia?. This contract trades at 95¢ on Kalshi, closing May 28, 2026. Inter's Coppa Italia odds have collapsed 59% over seven days (from 19¢ to 46¢), now pricing them at just 49% despite being a perennial favorite, suggesting either significant injury news or recent tournament elimination.

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95¢

Bid/Ask 2/97¢·Spread 95¢·Vol $0·OI $3,605.32·Closes May 28, 2026·34d remaining

KXCOPPAITALIA-26-INT

7-day price421 snapshots · 9 regime

95¢2¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 24

Analysis

7d ago

Inter's Coppa Italia odds have collapsed 59% over seven days (from 19¢ to 46¢), now pricing them at just 49% despite being a perennial favorite, suggesting either significant injury news or recent tournament elimination. The extreme implied yields (1032% for Yes, 749% for No) reflect the market's illiquidity crisis—only $3,441 open interest with zero 24-hour volume indicates virtually no trading activity and unreliable pricing. With 42 days to resolution and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this market is highly sensitive to late-breaking information, making the current 49¢ price potentially unstable pending tournament developments.

Resolution rules

If Inter is the 2026 Coppa Italia Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.7%

IY (No) 2252.0%

Adj IY 646%

CRI 2

LAS 0.43

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	498.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2252.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	646%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.43	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/24/2026, 3:46:17 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 3:23:12 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCOPPAITALIA-26-INT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →