Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
12
Family volume
$742K
Best sibling
Michael Carrick 80¢
Ticker
0x3f4d2e25…fb39
Price history
0¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x3f4d2e25…fb39
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
Next Manchester United manager.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$742K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Michael Carrick 80¢
Current share
24%
Darren Fletcher
polymarket · 0x3f4d2e2543f9ee3ab3fc6f688702b7e515a17b934ac2c376834fb9820863fb39
Michael Carrick
polymarket · 0x6e4882f3c75f3e540a5747dcd142c39bffa0e361572228059e8705411a891c3f
Ole Gunnar Solskjær
polymarket · 0x8febfe00f8155a3ecfc4af5da7b4283f14b7f6b726217d2c600dcc326d8f50ed
Oliver Glasner
polymarket · 0x8b452f52d0d000a2c8ffe882313453654e86847969184511930fd4adb47238b9
Gareth Southgate
polymarket · 0xd96d7cfe1d7df31499af66603915c58e8517606d8053fab823a66b201398f7d6
Enzo Maresca
polymarket · 0xe58164f11bfa04c35cb608efcb33f886e8ccc1814a1070b592b93394fd00eac1
Laurent Blanc
polymarket · 0xa6dca5f8220d76c754fd02c4ce8e162b3c1a7164abd64d2c8b894e0ee111d77a
Kieran McKenna
polymarket · 0x4e39286aa680f5b798eb45452aac17f0549c3af4636c3dcd7d9f71044bc2d47d
Thomas Tuchel
polymarket · 0xcc5b59e1ab7faafead52dac29db4006aedeaca1f72211db34bd4ac3c979bf55e
Luis Enrique
polymarket · 0x70f60ca0c1db5286f78c1a19fb05de7041d9d087581630d340166a4c1dbd524e
Xavi
polymarket · 0xa6b64203e0a5b8fe5cdaffddc35fc76569153bf003a9fdfa94684f39520c845f
Xabi Alonso
polymarket · 0x4b7ca8595d53fc6fa778c9f534bd031b72fbbac63de617827b3aabcab71b4135
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes
When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.