Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Polymarket.

████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
30¢
Bid/Ask 26/33¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $475.525·OI $18,306.407·195d remaining
0x4900fd99a53dc19621b3de761cdd75401fcd5733d785b9840275fe14ccd7d74c
7-day price569 snapshots · 12 regime
31¢31¢ current
Apr 814¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 416.3%
IY (No) 84.0%
Adj IY 416%
CRI 2
RV 1321%
VR 4.97
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)416.3%
IY (No)84.0%
Adj IY416%
CRI2
RV1321%
VR4.97
IAR3.0/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:02:52 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 7:53:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x4900fd99a53dc19621b3de761cdd75401fcd5733d785b9840275fe14ccd7d74c yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions