Will the median home value in New York City be between $568,000 and $575,000 on April 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will the median home value in New York City be between $568,000 and $575,000 on April 30?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 2/6¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $16.424·OI $67.043·Closes Apr 30, 2026·4d remaining
0x4920de52e29a1373a50e32d5693b71aa6c9803138fe664a671de30b5413dace5
7-day price32 snapshots · 5 regime
5¢4¢ current
Apr 224¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 379.8%
Adj IY 50000%
CRI 24
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)379.8%
Adj IY50000%
CRI24
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 11:55:56 PM
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 11:53:50 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x4920de52e29a1373a50e32d5693b71aa6c9803138fe664a671de30b5413dace5 yes 100

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