Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5
Prediction markets currently give a 70% probability that Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5. This contract trades at 70¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026. This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $178.9k open interest, suggesting positions are locked in with no recent trading activity.
Analysis
This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $178.9k open interest, suggesting positions are locked in with no recent trading activity. The 52¢ spread is unusually wide for a binary market, and the astronomical implied yields (3,378% for Yes, 12,727% for No) indicate severe mispricing likely driven by stale pricing or minimal liquidity depth. With only 6 days to expiry and a K-League match scheduled for April 25, the 66¢ price appears disconnected from typical soccer match scoring patterns—most matches exceed 1.5 combined goals—warranting caution on execution risk if attempting to trade this position.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming K-League game between Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on kleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
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Trade
sf trade 0x5252eebfd6d1c5eb2c209ce3452d414f04ce17226f40ac1c5d4ce995f7772563 yes 100