What is the current probability for "Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 37¢ (37% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 31, 2026. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 253.9% and 87.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 37% probability that Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?. This contract trades at 37¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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37¢

Bid/Ask 35/38¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $7.17·OI $1,311.452·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining

0x638cad4278cb693a44655a76ee46535814473b2a3201e5e68b85c096fe54a786

7-day price142 snapshots · 21 regime

82¢37¢ current

Apr 1020¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 253.9%

IY (No) 87.6%

Adj IY 254%

CRI 2

RV 1300%

VR 12.70

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	253.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	87.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	254%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1300%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	12.70	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	3.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 5:40:20 AM

Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 5:38:55 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x638cad4278cb693a44655a76ee46535814473b2a3201e5e68b85c096fe54a786 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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