NVIDIA · Largest Company end of June
NVIDIA is priced at 93¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 93¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Largest Company end of June?.
Price history
93¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
NVIDIA
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
NVIDIA 93¢
Range
0¢-93¢
Family volume
$22.6M
Identifier
0x79afea6a...1f95
Jun 16, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$117K
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Largest Company end of June?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$22.6M
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x79afea6a…1f95
Event family
Largest Company end of June.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22.6M
Outcomes
7
Highest price
NVIDIA 93¢
Current share
13%
NVIDIA
polymarket · 0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95
Alphabet
polymarket · 0x416242cc0757f9d4aefdfe86893cea90610b3d0928c60e09416e717db7e9f0f0
Apple
polymarket · 0xc2db6688c6df422104ee751fad721b03ade9c50a8b3c85588cfe4a20ae62ff63
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x644dd9e9dd31ed7bb8ea3780c8eff79a42a190756e2592bcb4a93aa484b4fb9b
Tesla
polymarket · 0xf1ed2e6df582b055e94b3ff00b9dce996af9f04c5cc67e9a6fbfef487169c0e7
Amazon
polymarket · 0x6786eb0f18f38f4132b3501f142728ba2ed15b72ddc4f65ddde548c509d7f6ff
Saudi Aramco
polymarket · 0x36b97e8e982e7ffc316526077c0fb30aa97e9ddb32961596e114576a17719df2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 93% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.