What is the current probability for "Will Brentford qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 39¢ (39% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on September 1, 2026. 130 days remaining.

Will Brentford qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Prediction markets currently give a 39% probability that Will Brentford qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?. This contract trades at 39¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026.

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39¢

Bid/Ask —/78¢·Spread 78¢·Vol $0·OI $109.206·Closes Sep 1, 2026·130d remaining

0x7f8f9a9280f41bf879226db947d3f777dfaf5f8e73bd216a5b9b9fb41c98dde6

7-day price129 snapshots · 4 regime

45¢40¢ current

Apr 2234¢Apr 23

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 3¢(Δ +36¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.79IY 37275.1%Close-time delta 2362h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 438.9%

IY (No) 179.4%

Adj IY 219%

CRI 2

Overround 3.4%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	438.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	179.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	219%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

78¢

Computed

4/23/2026, 10:17:48 PM

Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 10:08:13 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x7f8f9a9280f41bf879226db947d3f777dfaf5f8e73bd216a5b9b9fb41c98dde6 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →