Will the median home value in New York City be between $596,000 and $603,000 on April 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will the median home value in New York City be between $596,000 and $603,000 on April 30?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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49¢
Bid/Ask 41/57¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $100·OI $278.531·Closes Apr 30, 2026·4d remaining
0x9d8baa08da09c85c8045cea33f624996c514acd50e690e637627efa8a2d52fab
7-day price218 snapshots · 3 regime
59¢30¢ current
Apr 2220¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)

Indicators

IY (Yes) 21270.4%
IY (No) 3906.8%
Adj IY 10635%
CRI 2
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)21270.4%
IY (No)3906.8%
Adj IY10635%
CRI2
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
16¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 11:55:25 PM
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 11:53:50 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x9d8baa08da09c85c8045cea33f624996c514acd50e690e637627efa8a2d52fab yes 100

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