Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-22?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $227k open interest, suggesting trapped positions rather than active trading. The Yes side's 11,990% implied yield is a red flag indicating severe mispricing or structural issues—likely reflecting minimal liquidity depth on that side with the 6¢ spread confirming thin order books. With only 7 days to expiry and the price having collapsed 49¢ to 32¢, combined with 389% realized volatility, this appears to be a distressed market where the true probability may diverge significantly from the quoted 31%.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Club Tijuana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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