Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-25?

Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-25?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume despite $216.858 in open interest and a massive 60¢ bid-ask spread.

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28¢
Bid/Ask 26/30¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $5,109.429·Closes Apr 25, 2026·2d remaining
0xa75b2f574d0dc4c1e0143a05814b99c12a194b70006731fc1a691818b318994e
7-day price115 snapshots · 2 regime
47¢28¢ current
Apr 1928¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume despite $216.858 in open interest and a massive 60¢ bid-ask spread. The implied yields exceeding 9,470% for the Yes side are nonsensical artifacts of illiquid pricing rather than genuine market expectations, suggesting the 40¢ price may not reflect true probability given the market closes in just 6 days. The 547% realized volatility and cliff risk index of 1 indicate this is a highly unstable, thinly-traded contract where any actual order flow could cause severe repricing.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Bucheon FC 1995 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 41621.8%
IY (No) 6294.7%
Adj IY 20811%
CRI 3
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)41621.8%
IY (No)6294.7%
Adj IY20811%
CRI3
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:00:12 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:23 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa75b2f574d0dc4c1e0143a05814b99c12a194b70006731fc1a691818b318994e yes 100

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