Will Deportivo Saprissa win on 2026-04-22?

This market exhibits severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and an unusually wide 60¢ spread despite modest $80.833 open interest, suggesting minimal trading activity one week before resolution. The astronomical implied yields (5836% for Yes, 4972% for No) are artifacts of the thin liquidity rather than genuine profit opportunities, and the 301% realized volatility indicates extreme price instability typical of low-volume sports betting markets. With only 7 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this market is approaching resolution with minimal information flow (2.0 arrivals/hour), making the 48¢ price potentially unreliable for assessing Saprissa's true win probability.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Deportivo Saprissa wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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