Will the median home value in New York City be between $603,000 and $610,000 on April 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will the median home value in New York City be between $603,000 and $610,000 on April 30?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 7/13¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $5·OI $77.278·Closes Apr 30, 2026·4d remaining
0xc053747c97ba742389ff2680fa64a4c61d49643ad32daeaaf4e443b5198916b0
7-day price40 snapshots · 7 regime
12¢10¢ current
Apr 227¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)

Indicators

IY (Yes) 77788.3%
IY (No) 960.3%
Adj IY 38894%
CRI 9
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)77788.3%
IY (No)960.3%
Adj IY38894%
CRI9
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 6:45:41 PM
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 6:38:28 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc053747c97ba742389ff2680fa64a4c61d49643ad32daeaaf4e443b5198916b0 yes 100

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