What is the current probability for "Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-02?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 43¢ (43% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 3, 2026. 5 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-02?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 11448.2% and 5528.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-02?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-02?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-02?. This contract trades at 43¢ on Polymarket, closing May 3, 2026.

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43¢

Bid/Ask 25/61¢·Spread 36¢·Vol $0·OI $529.311·Closes May 3, 2026·5d remaining

0xcbb58607a1ef8a9572d4f5f7a66a458c4e4bdea8bb45dd2f5611cde00dab4bca

7-day price91 snapshots · 1 regime

51¢43¢ current

Apr 2740¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Angel City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 11448.2%

IY (No) 5528.4%

Adj IY 11448%

CRI 1

RV 1179%

VR 1.18

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	11448.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	5528.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11448%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1179%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.18	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	3.1/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

36¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 9:58:10 AM

Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 9:53:26 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xcbb58607a1ef8a9572d4f5f7a66a458c4e4bdea8bb45dd2f5611cde00dab4bca yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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