Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)

Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5). This contract trades at 13¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume despite $152k open interest and a massive 73¢ bid-ask spread.

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13¢
Bid/Ask 6/19¢·Spread 13¢·Vol $0·OI $287.443·Closes Apr 25, 2026·2d remaining
0xd679c4f823cf3a89db94701a1ee5c753828168a362d7e6b7728f27c4aacb1451
7-day price84 snapshots · 3 regime
44¢8¢ current
Apr 197¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume despite $152k open interest and a massive 73¢ bid-ask spread. The implied yields exceeding 11,600% for the Yes side are nonsensical artifacts of the wide spread rather than genuine arbitrage opportunities, suggesting minimal real trading activity. With only 5 days to expiry and a -2.5 goal spread requiring a 3+ goal victory for Gimcheon Sangmu FC (currently priced at just 44%), this appears to be a stale or abandoned market where the price may not reflect current betting consensus.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucheon FC 1995". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on kleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 2207.2%
Adj IY 50000%
CRI 7
Overround 1.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)2207.2%
Adj IY50000%
CRI7
Overround1.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
13¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:00:13 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:23 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xd679c4f823cf3a89db94701a1ee5c753828168a362d7e6b7728f27c4aacb1451 yes 100

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