Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with just $5.38 in 24-hour volume against $304.5 open interest, creating a dangerously wide 71¢ spread that likely doesn't reflect true probability. The 60¢ price implies HOOD needs to rally roughly 18% from current levels to hit $95 in just 15 days, yet the realized volatility of 2997% and sharp 7-day price movement from 7¢ to 60¢ suggest this is a highly speculative micro-market where small trades can swing quotes dramatically. The asymmetric implied yields (1649% for Yes vs 3711% for No) combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 2 indicate significant tail risk and potential for sharp resolution moves, making this unsuitable for risk-averse traders.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

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