Will the median home value in New York City be greater than $610,000 on April 30?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will the median home value in New York City be greater than $610,000 on April 30?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
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sf trade 0xf6706422cecb763c3502be030c48caf5c74470fdf088922fa1fc7c338f1e8b24 yes 100