Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-25?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume despite $203.827 in open interest and a massive 55¢ bid-ask spread. The absurdly high implied yields (13,362% for Yes, 3,241% for No) and 1,091% realized volatility suggest the 36¢ price may be stale or based on minimal trading activity rather than genuine market consensus. With only 6 days to expiry and a 2.3/hour information arrival rate, this appears to be a low-conviction, thinly-traded market where the quoted price should be treated with significant skepticism.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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