Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

The Yes side shows an extreme 473% implied yield against a depressed 31¢ price, suggesting either significant undervaluation or market skepticism about the Red Sox's competitive outlook for 2026. With zero 24-hour volume and only $1,664 in open interest despite a 12¢ spread, this market suffers from severe illiquidity that makes the yield figures potentially misleading. The recent 4¢ price decline over seven days combined with 172 days to expiry indicates weak conviction in a Red Sox over-performance, though the neutral regime score suggests no clear directional bias in current market conditions.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "O 85.5" if the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Boston Red Sox to record more than 85.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 85.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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