This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 180 (inclusive) and 199 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.
Consider selling on Kalshi at higher price
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
160-179 | 100.0% |
140-159 | 0.0% |
100-119 | 0.0% |
120-139 | 0.0% |
<100 | 0.0% |
200 or more | 0.0% |
Current180-199 | 0.0% |
Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.
| 2.0% |
| $62,382 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $2,364 | Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $7,578 | Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $7,374 | Trade |