This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 140 (inclusive) and 159 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
160-179 | 100.0% |
Current140-159 | 0.0% |
100-119 | 0.0% |
120-139 | 0.0% |
<100 | 0.0% |
200 or more | 0.0% |
180-199 | 0.0% |