This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has 200 or more launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.
Consider selling on Kalshi at higher price
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
160-179 | 100.0% |
140-159 | 0.0% |
100-119 | 0.0% |
120-139 | 0.0% |
<100 | 0.0% |
Current200 or more | 0.0% |
180-199 | 0.0% |
Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.
| 2.0% |
| $62,382 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $2,364 | Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $7,578 | Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $7,374 | Trade |