The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Karen Bass | 45.5% |
Nithya Raman | 37.0% |
Spencer Pratt | 11.0% |
CurrentRae Huang | 4.5% |
Rick Caruso | 2.6% |
Gina Viola | 1.4% |
Lindsey Horvath | 1.1% |
Monica Rodriguez | 1.0% |
Austin Beutner | 0.9% |
Asaad Alnajjar | 0.8% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |