The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Karen Bass | 59.0% |
Spencer Pratt | 23.0% |
Gina Viola | 6.3% |
Asaad Alnajjar | 5.0% |
Rick Caruso | 3.9% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate E | 0.0% |
CurrentCandidate F | 0.0% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate B | 0.0% |
Candidate C | 0.0% |
Candidate D | 0.0% |
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| 58.0% |
| $12,770 |
| Trade |