The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Karen Bass | 59.0% |
Spencer Pratt | 23.0% |
Gina Viola | 7.1% |
Asaad Alnajjar | 5.0% |
Rick Caruso | 3.9% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate E | 0.0% |
Candidate F | 0.0% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate B | 0.0% |
Candidate C | 0.0% |
CurrentCandidate D | 0.0% |