Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Luke Littler win the Luke Humphries vs Luke Littler darts match?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 62¢ (62% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 16 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Luke Littler win the Luke Humphries vs Luke Littler darts match?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1793.1% and 2904.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Luke Littler win the Luke Humphries vs Luke Littler darts match?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1793.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2904.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1452%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Will Luke Littler win the Luke Humphries vs Luke Littler darts match?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions