What is the current probability for "What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 90¢ (90% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on September 30, 2026. 155 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 70.3% and 787.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 90% probability that What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call?. This contract trades at 90¢ on Kalshi, closing September 30, 2026.

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90¢

Bid/Ask 77/90¢·Spread 13¢·Vol $0·OI $47.93·Closes Sep 30, 2026·155d remaining

KXEARNINGSMENTIONABNB-26MAY07-DOME

7-day price71 snapshots · 5 regime

83¢77¢ current

Apr 2174¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

If Domestic is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 70.3%

IY (No) 787.5%

Adj IY 655%

CRI 3

RV 425%

VR 5.11

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	70.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	787.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	655%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	425%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	5.11	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.8/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	6.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.17	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

13¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 9:55:46 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 9:53:26 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXEARNINGSMENTIONABNB-26MAY07-DOME yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

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