Will Bournemouth finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?
Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Bournemouth finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing May 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $386 open interest, making the 3¢ price potentially unreliable despite the massive 23,018% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $386 open interest, making the 3¢ price potentially unreliable despite the massive 23,018% implied yield on the Yes side. The 12¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price itself, and the recent movement from 2¢ to 4¢ suggests minimal trading activity rather than genuine probability shifts. With 38 days until expiry and Bournemouth currently mid-table in the actual 2024-25 season, the 3% probability appears to undervalue their realistic chances, though the illiquidity means any position would face severe slippage.
Also on polymarket at —¢
Resolution rules
If Bournemouth is a Top 6 Finisher in the 2025-26 English Premier League season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLTOP6-26-BOU yes 100