ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

This market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome—ETH trading in the $1,750-$1,999 range on Jan 1, 2027—at just 9¢ with a staggering 1,634% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting severe mispricing or tail-risk hedging demand. The 257-day time horizon and thin $11.69 daily volume create liquidity concerns, while the 12-point Cliff Risk Index flags potential resolution ambiguity around the CF Benchmarks methodology. The asymmetric yield profile (1,634% vs. 12.4%) and neutral regime score indicate this is likely a speculative or hedge position rather than a fundamental market view.

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 1750.00-1999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Trade