What is the current probability for "Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on August 18, 2027.

Where can I trade "Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing August 18, 2027.

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3¢

Bid/Ask 2/7¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $502·Closes Aug 18, 2027

KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-SHUG

7-day price75 snapshots · 1 regime

4¢2¢ current

Apr 142¢Apr 21

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 11¢(Δ -8¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 2504.6%Close-time delta 8774h

Resolution rules

If Shelley Hughes advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 2:12:03 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-SHUG yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →