SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2026184 days left

Will Michael Thurmond be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Georgia?

This contract is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

20¢
$91K volume
$75K liquidity
319% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$28K

Best sibling

Keisha Lance Bottoms 81¢

Ticker

KXGOVGANOMD-26-MT

Price history

20¢ current

+17¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 19¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
16¢21
15¢408
14¢466
13¢354
12¢666
AskSize
19¢132
20¢2.9K
21¢600
22¢817
23¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Michael Thurmond wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Georgia Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Identifier

KXGOVGANOMD-26-MT

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 14¢, +6¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

KXGOVGANOMD-26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$28K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Keisha Lance Bottoms 81¢

Current share

44%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1042.5%

IY (No)

37.8%

Adj IY

456%

CRI

5

Overround

0.0%

LAS

0.13

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1042.5%
37.8%
Adj IY
456%
5
Overround
0.0%
LAS
0.13

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