What is the current probability for "San Luis at Juarez: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 83¢ (83% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 10, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "San Luis at Juarez: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.6% and 10369.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "San Luis at Juarez: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

San Luis at Juarez: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that San Luis at Juarez: Totals. This contract trades at 83¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026.

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83¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/84¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 10, 2026·16d remaining

KXLIGAMXTOTAL-26APR25JUAASL-1

7-day price40 snapshots · 4 regime

82¢82¢ current

Apr 2373¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If San Luis and Juarez collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Juarez vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.6%

IY (No) 10369.0%

Adj IY 10116%

CRI 5

RV 1926%

VR 7.68

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10369.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10116%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1926%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	7.68	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/24/2026, 2:07:47 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 2:08:12 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLIGAMXTOTAL-26APR25JUAASL-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →